Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.403185 4.935207 5.514461 6.193323 6.968817 7.829019 8.858133
2025-01-26 3.632174 4.341159 5.171464 6.220893 7.519253 9.082344 11.120815
2025-02-02 3.222067 4.043255 5.060079 6.422959 8.218833 10.527987 13.759994
2025-02-09 2.899002 3.782874 4.927693 6.537648 8.772928 11.810637 16.327098
2025-02-16 2.640629 3.561396 4.800468 6.616356 9.254608 13.018627 18.924422
2025-02-23 2.430382 3.373915 4.687011 6.683154 9.703691 14.207217 21.630936
2025-03-02 2.183711 3.105979 4.426393 6.497186 9.742002 14.768127 23.419549
2025-03-09 2.004723 2.916296 4.256290 6.420069 9.924254 15.553103 25.653865
2025-03-16 1.848117 2.744172 4.093511 6.331751 10.069048 16.279829 27.871442
2025-03-23 1.789958 2.715656 4.145514 6.585928 10.796095 18.053466 32.189760
2025-03-30 1.680989 2.597419 4.043967 6.574026 11.063773 19.053620 35.212467
2025-04-06 1.575128 2.475149 3.924480 6.517618 11.242140 19.905416 38.061727
2025-04-13 1.417207 2.258699 3.636786 6.150308 10.833629 19.644533 38.687138
2025-04-20 1.345604 2.180793 3.576181 6.180329 11.164890 20.837713 42.541260
2025-04-27 1.308939 2.158855 3.608954 6.381522 11.842311 22.796403 48.389228
2025-05-04 1.261150 2.113644 3.596416 6.495515 12.359089 24.491518 53.940716
2025-05-11 1.211846 2.061825 3.567283 6.573679 12.809941 26.102914 59.583639
2025-05-18 1.164748 2.010351 3.534255 6.639995 13.241621 27.726251 65.555160
2025-05-25 1.088229 1.899893 3.383032 6.455391 13.115934 28.076572 68.323571
2025-06-01 1.031722 1.822736 3.289099 6.378838 13.216738 28.960011 72.665522
2025-06-08 0.978191 1.747733 3.193951 6.291163 13.282647 29.767747 76.952478
2025-06-15 0.967586 1.753642 3.256819 6.543484 14.153473 32.657509 87.769648
2025-06-22 0.928227 1.701326 3.200162 6.531669 14.403187 34.021104 94.360269